still looking at you, kid

the liga guadalupe

This is a reworked version of last year’s post about the goodbye bonus awards and the fibonacci streaker bonus. Everything should be updated to reflect the Liga 2011.


Goodbyes are never easy.

That truism extends to the realm of fantasy football. Weeks 5-11 of the NFL season pepper fantasy rosters with frustrating “byes,” leaving fantasy managers with holes to fill on an almost weekly basis. Nowhere is the sting of a bye week more sharply felt than in the Liga Guadalupe. With only one bench spot to stash that star player on a bye week, we are often left with an agonising choice: (1) drop some bigger-name players on their bye week and hope to pick them up again off waivers or (2) start a less-than-full roster.

To help counter the temptation to stockpile talent through bye weeks, I began offering huge [FAAB] cash prizes to teams who started a full roster. The rewards got even richer for those who kept a full-roster streak going. It was a beautifully complicated system, but ultimately wasn’t enough incentive for a few managers. With the new scoring system in 2011, empty roster spots will put teams at a serious disadvantage. Nevertheless, I decided to up the stakes again for the goodbye bonus awards.

Here’s how it works . . .

effective weeks 1-16


weeks 1-16

The weekly reward is pretty simple: start a full roster (11 players) and receive your reward ($11). If you don’t start a full roster, your $11 will go into “the pot,” and will wind up going to whoever wins the best of the worst award that week.

 

effective weeks 5-11


weeks 5-11

Bye weeks are a little differently distributed this year. Excepting week 10, from week 5 to week 11, at least four NFL teams are on “bye,” meaning they don’t play that week. Nobody is on bye Week 10, for some reason. Weird.

The goodbye bonus awards take this into account, as they scale according to the number of teams on bye:

N × M = A

  • N = NFL byes
  • M = multiplier
  • A = award

The base amount for the multiplier is $11. Therefore, the base award amounts for weeks 5-11:

goodbye bonus award (M = $11)
week   n × m = a
5   6 × $11 = $66
6   6 × $11 = $66
7   6 × $11 = $66
8   6 × $11 = $66
9   4 × $11 = $44
10            
11   4 × $11 = $44

 

effective weeks 1-16


streakers

As I mentioned above, the base value of M is $11. This value can increase with the addition of a streaker bonus, to reward a streak of consecutive full rosters.

The full value of M, then:

M = ( B + F )

  • M = multiplier
  • B = base amount ($11)
  • F = Fibonacci streaker bonus (the type of streaker in play here).

The Fibonacci sequence, which I will address in more detail at a later date, is built on the simple rule that each number is the sum of the two previous numbers. By rule, the sequence starts with 0, 1; so the first 10 numbers are:

0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34 . . .

This year, the Fibonacci streaker bonus runs all year long. For weeks without a bye, F is simply added to R (the $11 weekly reward). Here’s what your FAAB (total income) would look like if you started a full roster all season long:

weekly rewards, goodbyes, and streakers
week   n     b   f     r   faab
1 $0 $11 = $11
2 $1 $11 = $12
3 $1 $11 = $12
4 $2 $11 = $13
5 6 × ( $11 + $3 ) + $11 = $95
6 6 × ( $11 + $5 ) + $11 = $107
7 6 × ( $11 + $8 ) + $11 = $125
8 6 × ( $11 + $13 ) + $11 = $155
9 4 × ( $11 + $21 ) + $11 = $139
10 $34 + $11 = $45
11 4 × ( $11 + $55 ) + $11 = $275
12 $89 + $11 = $100
13 $144 + $11 = $155
14 $233 + $11 = $244
15 $377 + $11 = $388
16 $610* + $11 = $621

*This hefty amount is completely ceremonial. Week 16 is the Liga championship game, meaning the money for a full roster wouldn’t be awarded until after the season is over. But it looks cool so I included it in the table.

. . . it's alright.


don’t think twice . . .

The choice, of course, is up to you, my beloved Liga. Every add or drop, start or bench, waiver bid or trade — they’re all calculated risks. I’m just here to fill you in on the calculations behind the FAAB income you may (or may not) be entitled to.

If you, like the freewheelin’ Bob Dylan of 1963, feel that goodbye is too good a word . . . well, go ahead and leave those roster slots empty; I’ll just say: “fare thee well.”

 

-Prof.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *